Friday, 2 December 2011

Really enjoyed watching..........

........Crystal Palace put Man U to the sword the other night. Always have a fondness for Palace as my dad supported them. Great to see a side that really believed they could win, especially as I'm used to watching Derby (though only on Sky nowadays) who after a promising early season start are now on a losing run of what seems to be something like 473 but may I suppose be one or two less. At the moment you can see the confidence drain out of Derby almost the minute the opposition scores, though scoring will hopefully be a problem for Palace when the two sides  meet tonight (Friday), especially as -  Wednesday's commentator kept on  telling us -  'Palace haven't even scored in their previous five matches'. This line of enquiry was kept up in the dressing room interview afterwards, words to the effect of  'You've not scored in the last 5 matches and you haven't won  any  either.'  Well, if I was a bookie and knew that Palace hadn't scored in their last 5 matches, I could pretty safely offer big odds against them having won any of them.

Anyway back to business and a profit of £12 from our midweek bets, thanks largely to a 3-3 draw in the Italian league, a fluke as Cassini would say and he's right of course, except that the bookies factor in the possibility of 3-3 or even 4-4 scores (admittedly they're small factors) when working out the overall draw odds price. But that said you are looking for low scoring games when betting on draws and whilst 0-0 or 1-1  is job well done on my part, 3-3 is more of a sigh of relief time, though I'll take it over 1-0 any day! Talking of low scoring matches, I note that Cassini is also nicely in profit backing the same matches for under 2.5 goals so his system is obviously looking at the right matches. I am even tempted to subscribe myself and dutch  each of his selections as a 0-0 and 1-1 correct score. (PS - I'm not his agent!)

On to the weekend's bets and though two leagues are missing due to the FA Cup, the system has still found very few bets. Here they are.

HOME Granada 2.25

DRAW Monchengladbach 3.7

UNDER 2.5 GOALS Monchengladbach  2.06

OVER 2.5 GOALS QPR 2.1,  Blackpool 1.92 , Athletico Madrid 1.80

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE  QPR 1.82, Blackpool 1.73, Athletico Madrid 1.83

JEREMY CLARKSON to be pushed in front of a train and then shot (just to make certain). Big gamble on this one - now down to 1.01.

9 bets in all at £6 each = £54 staked. Good luck if following.

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