Disappointing midweek and we lost £31. Scaling back on stakes this weekend as I have exposure elsewhere and don't wan't to risk exposing too high a percentage of the bank at one time, but before we get round to that here are the bets.
HOMES Burnley 2.0, Aldershot 2.05, Plymouth 2.0, Real Betis 2.1, Chievo 2.05, Valenciennes, 2.05, Augsburg 2.8
HOMES (DRAW NO BET) Norwich 5.0, Brest 2.875, Athletico Madrid 6.0
DRAWS Atalanta 3.25
AWAYS Tottenham 2.9 Reading 3.0, Tranmere 3.4, Athletico Bilbao 3.3, Hoffenheim 3.5
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Rochdale 3.25, Real Zaragoza 5.5
OVER 2.5 GOALS QPR 2.05, Bristol City 1.91, Osasuna 2.18, Lazio 2.25, Evian Thonon Gaillar 2.2
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Chelsea 1.91, Newcastle 1.85, QPR 1.85, Bristol City 1.8, Osasuna 2.0, Lazio 2.0, Evian Thonon Gaillar 1.95
Anyway, as I said, I have exposure in other sports betting this weekend and am reluctant to expose too much of my bank at once, so the stake for me is just £4 on each of the above 30 bets, which makes £120 altogether. Good luck if following.
Friday 24 February 2012
Monday 20 February 2012
Review of last week plus bets for Tuesday - Thursday
Last Monday - Thursday was near enough break even but Friday kicked off the weekend very nicely with 2 winners from 2, including Inter Milan going down again - the second tine in 5 days we had successfully opposed their long odds on price. Saturday and Sunday added a bit more profit and we now stand at a net profit of £259.50 for the season from £3994.50 staked; an roi of 6.5%.
Let's hope the following midweek bets won't detract from the profits - February has been a good month so far.
HOMES Bologna 2.625
DRAWS Aldershot 3.5, St Etienne 3.4
AWAYS Rotherham 3.1, Auxerre 3.5
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Morecambe 6.5
UNDER 2.5 Aldershot 1.91
OVER 2.5 Derby 2.2
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Derby 1.91
9 bets and I have staked £9 on each - a total of £81.
Good luck if following.
Let's hope the following midweek bets won't detract from the profits - February has been a good month so far.
HOMES Bologna 2.625
DRAWS Aldershot 3.5, St Etienne 3.4
AWAYS Rotherham 3.1, Auxerre 3.5
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Morecambe 6.5
UNDER 2.5 Aldershot 1.91
OVER 2.5 Derby 2.2
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Derby 1.91
9 bets and I have staked £9 on each - a total of £81.
Good luck if following.
Friday 17 February 2012
This weekend's bets (including two tonight)
Twenty past three and a busy schedule both for me and the bets. The two in CAPITALS take place tonight so straight to business.
HOMES Walsall 2.3, Port Vale 2.4, Lorient 3.6, Nancy 2.7, Hamburg 2.2, Palermo 2.5, Getafe 2.25
DRAWS Barnet 3.4, St Etiennes 3.1, PSG 3.6, Juventus 5.5, Lecce 3.2, Novara 3.33
AWAYS Portsmouth 3.4, Colchester 3.0, Carlisle 3.6, Aldershot 2.75, Nice 3.3, NAPOLI 3.4, Real Sociedad 3.3, Rayo Vallecano 3.25,
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Plymouth 3.25, Valenciennes 6.5, Wolfsburg 4.33, BOLOGNA 7.5, Cagliari 3.3, Malaga 3.23, Valencia 11.9
UNDER 2.5 Juventus 2.05
OVER 2.5 Peterborough 1.91, Genoa 2.0
31 bets in all and £9 staked on each comes to£279. Good luck if following.
HOMES Walsall 2.3, Port Vale 2.4, Lorient 3.6, Nancy 2.7, Hamburg 2.2, Palermo 2.5, Getafe 2.25
DRAWS Barnet 3.4, St Etiennes 3.1, PSG 3.6, Juventus 5.5, Lecce 3.2, Novara 3.33
AWAYS Portsmouth 3.4, Colchester 3.0, Carlisle 3.6, Aldershot 2.75, Nice 3.3, NAPOLI 3.4, Real Sociedad 3.3, Rayo Vallecano 3.25,
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Plymouth 3.25, Valenciennes 6.5, Wolfsburg 4.33, BOLOGNA 7.5, Cagliari 3.3, Malaga 3.23, Valencia 11.9
UNDER 2.5 Juventus 2.05
OVER 2.5 Peterborough 1.91, Genoa 2.0
31 bets in all and £9 staked on each comes to£279. Good luck if following.
Tuesday 14 February 2012
Midweek bets
Last night's only bet continued the good run, so let's hope it doesn't come to an end too soon.
HOMES Colchester 2.5, Swindon 2.5, Atalanta 2.2
DRAWS Birmingham 3.5, Watford 3.4, Bournemouth 3.75, Charlton 3.5, Huddersfield 3.4, Oldham 3.55, Shrewbury 4.0
AWAYS Crystal Palace 3.25, Southampton 3.5, Chesterfield 3.9, Port Vale 3.1, Torquay 3.95, Barnet 3.1
UNDER 2.5 Charlton 1.91, Huddersfield 2.0, Shrewsbury 1.95
OVER 2.5 Morecambe 1.95
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Cardiff 1.8, Morecambe 1.8
I'm staking £9 on each bet and as there are 22 of them that's a total of £198. Good luck if following.
HOMES Colchester 2.5, Swindon 2.5, Atalanta 2.2
DRAWS Birmingham 3.5, Watford 3.4, Bournemouth 3.75, Charlton 3.5, Huddersfield 3.4, Oldham 3.55, Shrewbury 4.0
AWAYS Crystal Palace 3.25, Southampton 3.5, Chesterfield 3.9, Port Vale 3.1, Torquay 3.95, Barnet 3.1
UNDER 2.5 Charlton 1.91, Huddersfield 2.0, Shrewsbury 1.95
OVER 2.5 Morecambe 1.95
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Cardiff 1.8, Morecambe 1.8
I'm staking £9 on each bet and as there are 22 of them that's a total of £198. Good luck if following.
Monday 13 February 2012
Tonight's bet and a review of the weekend
There is a bet tonight but we'll get to that in a minute. I'd like to mention the weekend's results just now because they were good and part of the reason they were good was because Inter Milan were beaten at home by Novara. Inter were priced up at long odds on because they were near the top of the legaue and were playing host to Novara who were rooted firmly to the bottom.Whilst Inter might have won the match 70 times out of 100, the prices just didn't reflect the fact that they had conceded 4 in each of their previous 2 outings. The recommended bet was Novara with the safeguard of stake refunded if the match finished drawn and I got odds of nearly 11-1 after commission on that basis. As long as the majority of gamblers continue to only take note of league positions there will be value available.
On to tonight's bet: SOUTHEND are a bet away at Gillingham. I have staked £9 and the best odds currently available are 2.87. Normally Monday night matches would have been included with last weekend's bets but at the time Gillingham were scheduled to play on Saturday as well, though in the event the match was postponed.
If anyone's interested in the current state of play, so far this season we have had 599 bets (269 have won) and staked a total of £3496.50. Profit is £188.50 which represents an roi of 5.4%.
Back tomorrow with the midweek bets.
On to tonight's bet: SOUTHEND are a bet away at Gillingham. I have staked £9 and the best odds currently available are 2.87. Normally Monday night matches would have been included with last weekend's bets but at the time Gillingham were scheduled to play on Saturday as well, though in the event the match was postponed.
If anyone's interested in the current state of play, so far this season we have had 599 bets (269 have won) and staked a total of £3496.50. Profit is £188.50 which represents an roi of 5.4%.
Back tomorrow with the midweek bets.
Friday 10 February 2012
Weekend bets including one tonight again
First of all. tonight's bet: ROTHERHAM are playing away at Southend - or at least the fixture's still on as I'm writing this - and they are a bet for me in the AWAYS at 4.3 and also in BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE at 1.8.
Right - very busy again - I manage my time worse than Capello managed England - so straight on with the bets:
HOMES Bolton 2.05, Everton 2.4, Bristol Rovers 2.25, Burton 2.75, Brest 2.0, B M Gladbach, 2.43, Cagliari 2.2, Catania 2.25, Real Betis 2.9
DRAWS Sunderland 3.6, Blackpool 3.5, Leyton Orient 3.5, Nice 3.35, Osasuna 4.4, Villa Real 3.95
AWAYS Birmingham 2.16, Watford 3.75, Rotherham 4.3 Lorient 3.14, Hannover 4.23, AC Milan 2.9, Athletico Madrid 2.1
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Aldershot 6.0, Nancy 3.5, Hertha Berlin 3.4, Novara 12.5, Mallorca 4.0
UNDER 2.5 GOALS Sunderland 1.97, Blackpool 1.91, Leyton Orient 1.91, Osasuna 2.33
OVER 2.5 GOALS Blackburn 1.95, Peterborough 1.91, Hereford 2.2
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Blackburn 1.73, Peterborough 1.75, Rotherham 1.8, Hereford 2.0
38 bets and again I've bet them all - £7.50 on each - so the total stake is £285. Good luck if following.
Right - very busy again - I manage my time worse than Capello managed England - so straight on with the bets:
HOMES Bolton 2.05, Everton 2.4, Bristol Rovers 2.25, Burton 2.75, Brest 2.0, B M Gladbach, 2.43, Cagliari 2.2, Catania 2.25, Real Betis 2.9
DRAWS Sunderland 3.6, Blackpool 3.5, Leyton Orient 3.5, Nice 3.35, Osasuna 4.4, Villa Real 3.95
AWAYS Birmingham 2.16, Watford 3.75, Rotherham 4.3 Lorient 3.14, Hannover 4.23, AC Milan 2.9, Athletico Madrid 2.1
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Aldershot 6.0, Nancy 3.5, Hertha Berlin 3.4, Novara 12.5, Mallorca 4.0
UNDER 2.5 GOALS Sunderland 1.97, Blackpool 1.91, Leyton Orient 1.91, Osasuna 2.33
OVER 2.5 GOALS Blackburn 1.95, Peterborough 1.91, Hereford 2.2
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Blackburn 1.73, Peterborough 1.75, Rotherham 1.8, Hereford 2.0
38 bets and again I've bet them all - £7.50 on each - so the total stake is £285. Good luck if following.
Tuesday 7 February 2012
Bet tonight
A good weekend which has seen us back in overall profit; meanwhile, just one bet of interest to me in the midweek fixtures and it takes place tonight:
Bournemouth v Exeter is both a draw for me at 3.9 and also a bet in the under 2.5 goals market at 1.91.
I have staked £ 7.50 on each bet; £15 altogether. Good luck if following.
Bournemouth v Exeter is both a draw for me at 3.9 and also a bet in the under 2.5 goals market at 1.91.
I have staked £ 7.50 on each bet; £15 altogether. Good luck if following.
Friday 3 February 2012
Weekend bets including one for tonight
First things first - there is a bet tonight. Nurenberg kick off at 7.30 and the match is a bet for me in the DRAWS (4.0) and UNDER 2.5 (2.05) markets. Stake is £6 on each.
We are £18 down from a total of £3099 staked and would be in profit were it not for the continuing poor performance of the draws.The sooner this run comes to an end the better, especially as I like betting on the draw as it's usually ignored by the majority of casual gamblers who prefer betting on a specific outcome, so consequently is fairly priced. Also it's possible to envisage a draw in almost any match as almost every team is trying ( with the exception of the odd Serie A team after Easter!) and whilst it's possibly true that some clubs travelling to Manchester have dismissed the possibility of all 3 points before they start, few of them make the journey tactically planning for a four nil defeat. In that famous FA Cup tie from 1970, the Watford Long John Silver Impersonators may have had sleepless nights at the thought of playing the Bournemouth Gynaecologists, but even they at least held out some hope of bringing them back to Treasure Island for a replay.......http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejTTJmJSHkk
One or two of those goals looked a bit offside to me, but sadly the result was never in doubt anyway once the referee had reminded the Impersonators that the tie was to be played over two legs.
The system originally produced rather a lot of bets this weekend, but even as I am writing this they are falling like ninepins due to the weather, causing a lot of hasty editing. They include several big priced aways and whilst I've not been too successful in finding draws recently, it's odds on that when you're backing aways at 4 or 5-1 some will finish as draws. I am therefore keeping the draw on my side with these bigger price selections by introducing a separate category of draw no bet, which basically means that you back the away at reduced odds but get your stake refunded if the match finishes as a draw.
HOMES QPR 2.1, Birmingham 2.2, Northampton 2.25, Plymouth 4.0, Caen 2.3, Fiorentina 2.5, Mallorca 2.3, Athletico Madrid 2.1
DRAWS AC Ajaccio 3.2, Montpellier 3.8, Marseille 3.8, Nurenburg 4.0, Getafe 4.5
AWAYS Sunderland 3.6, Hannover 3.1, Lazio 3.0, Osasuna 3.0
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Crystal Palace 4.0, Chesterfield 3.75, Espanyol 4.0, Villa Real 3.75
UNDER 2.5 GOALS Nurenberg 2.05, Getafe 2.6
OVER 2.5 GOALS Dijon 2.33, Granada 2.25
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Dijon 1.95, Granada 1.91
27 bets at £6 each = £162 staked. Good luck if following.
We are £18 down from a total of £3099 staked and would be in profit were it not for the continuing poor performance of the draws.The sooner this run comes to an end the better, especially as I like betting on the draw as it's usually ignored by the majority of casual gamblers who prefer betting on a specific outcome, so consequently is fairly priced. Also it's possible to envisage a draw in almost any match as almost every team is trying ( with the exception of the odd Serie A team after Easter!) and whilst it's possibly true that some clubs travelling to Manchester have dismissed the possibility of all 3 points before they start, few of them make the journey tactically planning for a four nil defeat. In that famous FA Cup tie from 1970, the Watford Long John Silver Impersonators may have had sleepless nights at the thought of playing the Bournemouth Gynaecologists, but even they at least held out some hope of bringing them back to Treasure Island for a replay.......http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejTTJmJSHkk
One or two of those goals looked a bit offside to me, but sadly the result was never in doubt anyway once the referee had reminded the Impersonators that the tie was to be played over two legs.
The system originally produced rather a lot of bets this weekend, but even as I am writing this they are falling like ninepins due to the weather, causing a lot of hasty editing. They include several big priced aways and whilst I've not been too successful in finding draws recently, it's odds on that when you're backing aways at 4 or 5-1 some will finish as draws. I am therefore keeping the draw on my side with these bigger price selections by introducing a separate category of draw no bet, which basically means that you back the away at reduced odds but get your stake refunded if the match finishes as a draw.
HOMES QPR 2.1, Birmingham 2.2, Northampton 2.25, Plymouth 4.0, Caen 2.3, Fiorentina 2.5, Mallorca 2.3, Athletico Madrid 2.1
DRAWS AC Ajaccio 3.2, Montpellier 3.8, Marseille 3.8, Nurenburg 4.0, Getafe 4.5
AWAYS Sunderland 3.6, Hannover 3.1, Lazio 3.0, Osasuna 3.0
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Crystal Palace 4.0, Chesterfield 3.75, Espanyol 4.0, Villa Real 3.75
UNDER 2.5 GOALS Nurenberg 2.05, Getafe 2.6
OVER 2.5 GOALS Dijon 2.33, Granada 2.25
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Dijon 1.95, Granada 1.91
27 bets at £6 each = £162 staked. Good luck if following.
Thursday 2 February 2012
One bet tonight - Thursday
Very rarely is there a bet on Thursdays but Novara are playing Chievo tonight in the Italian Serie A and the match is a bet for me in both OVER 2.5 GOALS (2.42) and BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (1.95).
I have staked £7.50 on each; £15 altogether. Good luck if following.
I have staked £7.50 on each; £15 altogether. Good luck if following.
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