First things first - there is a bet tonight. Nurenberg kick off at 7.30 and the match is a bet for me in the DRAWS (4.0) and UNDER 2.5 (2.05) markets. Stake is £6 on each.
We are £18 down from a total of £3099 staked and would be in profit were it not for the continuing poor performance of the draws.The sooner this run comes to an end the better, especially as I like betting on the draw as it's usually ignored by the majority of casual gamblers who prefer betting on a specific outcome, so consequently is fairly priced. Also it's possible to envisage a draw in almost any match as almost every team is trying ( with the exception of the odd Serie A team after Easter!) and whilst it's possibly true that some clubs travelling to Manchester have dismissed the possibility of all 3 points before they start, few of them make the journey tactically planning for a four nil defeat. In that famous FA Cup tie from 1970, the Watford Long John Silver Impersonators may have had sleepless nights at the thought of playing the Bournemouth Gynaecologists, but even they at least held out some hope of bringing them back to Treasure Island for a replay.......http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejTTJmJSHkk
One or two of those goals looked a bit offside to me, but sadly the result was never in doubt anyway once the referee had reminded the Impersonators that the tie was to be played over two legs.
The system originally produced rather a lot of bets this weekend, but even as I am writing this they are falling like ninepins due to the weather, causing a lot of hasty editing. They include several big priced aways and whilst I've not been too successful in finding draws recently, it's odds on that when you're backing aways at 4 or 5-1 some will finish as draws. I am therefore keeping the draw on my side with these bigger price selections by introducing a separate category of draw no bet, which basically means that you back the away at reduced odds but get your stake refunded if the match finishes as a draw.
HOMES QPR 2.1, Birmingham 2.2, Northampton 2.25, Plymouth 4.0, Caen 2.3, Fiorentina 2.5, Mallorca 2.3, Athletico Madrid 2.1
DRAWS AC Ajaccio 3.2, Montpellier 3.8, Marseille 3.8, Nurenburg 4.0, Getafe 4.5
AWAYS Sunderland 3.6, Hannover 3.1, Lazio 3.0, Osasuna 3.0
AWAYS (DRAW NO BET) Crystal Palace 4.0, Chesterfield 3.75, Espanyol 4.0, Villa Real 3.75
UNDER 2.5 GOALS Nurenberg 2.05, Getafe 2.6
OVER 2.5 GOALS Dijon 2.33, Granada 2.25
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Dijon 1.95, Granada 1.91
27 bets at £6 each = £162 staked. Good luck if following.
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